Voters in San Francisco and Los Angeles will once more grapple with questions of criminal justice and public order. Among other things, the Senate primary will be a test of whether, in the end, motivated politicians can game any system. The current primary setup was passed by voters in 2010, partly to stop partisans from engaging in primary shenanigans. Schiff would then be the overwhelming favorite for the seat. The idea is to unite the state’s outnumbered conservatives behind Garvey so he and Schiff finish in the top two, denying Porter a spot in November. Schiff has been airing ads slamming him - or, more accurately, promoting him - as most likely to carry out Trump’s wishes. Garvey, 75, is both a Republican and a novice at politics. But that’s changed since former Dodgers great Steve Garvey threw his hat in the ring. Katie Porter and Adam Schiff, would battle it out until Election Day. Rather than having the winners of party primaries face off in November, California throws every candidate into a single primary and has the top two vote-getters make it to the general election.ĭemocrats have a lock on statewide races in the overwhelmingly blue state, and for months the speculation was that two prominent U.S. The seat’s temporary occupant, Laphonza Butler, isn’t running for a full term. RNC votes to install Donald Trump’s handpicked chair as former president tightens control of party Senate seat left open by the death of Democratic Sen. One of the most consequential contests is the California primary for the U.S. There’s far more than the presidential primaries on the ballot Tuesday. WHAT HAPPENS IN CALIFORNIA’S SENATE RACE? Dean Phillips of Minnesota and self-help author Marianne Williamson, who revived her campaign after receiving a surprise 3% of the Michigan primary vote. There are no similar organized anti-Biden efforts on the Super Tuesday calendar, just the president’s two longshot primary opponents who’ve yet to crack low single digits against him, U.S. The one speed bump came in Michigan, where an organized attempt to vote “uncommitted” in the primary there to protest Biden’s support of Israel during the war in Gaza garnered 13% of the vote, a slightly higher share than that option got in the last primary under a Democratic president. Biden has many political problems dragging him down in public opinion polls, but not, so far, at primary polling stations. DOES BIDEN END DOUBTS?Īs sleepy as the Republican presidential primary has been, the Democratic one has been even quieter. Weakness with college graduates and in the suburbs where they cluster is what doomed Trump in his 2020 loss to Biden. One of the biggest questions on Tuesday is whether Trump can start repairing that rupture. In South Carolina, Trump won the suburbs but not by the same magnitude as his dominance in small towns and rural areas, essentially splitting the vote with Haley. Roughly two-thirds of voters in both states who went to graduate school after college voted for the former South Carolina governor. In the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries, APVoteCast found that college graduates picked Haley over Trump. DO COLLEGE GRADS KEEP TURNING AGAINST TRUMP?Īmid Trump’s commanding wins this primary season have been a notable warning sign for November: He’s performed poorly with college-educated primary voters. She may not be able to afford another sweeping loss. But she’s seen some of her financial support waver recently - the organization Americans For Prosperity, backed by the Koch brothers, announced it’d stop spending on her behalf after South Carolina. Haley’s banked a considerable amount of campaign money and says she wants to stay in the race until the Republican National Convention in July in case delegates there have second thoughts about formally nominating Trump amidst his legal woes.
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